Profit-driven optimal segment churn prevention actions for a financial institution. A multi-action and shared-segment budget constraint approach

dc.catalogadorvdr
dc.contributor.advisorMac Cawley Vergara, Alejandro Francisco
dc.contributor.authorAbraham, Fuentealba
dc.contributor.otherPontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Escuela de Ingeniería
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-14T12:47:33Z
dc.date.available2024-10-14T12:47:33Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.descriptionTesis (Master of Science in Engineering)--Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, 2024
dc.description.abstractCustomer attrition is a significant source of revenue loss for organizations, and attracting new customers is estimated to be five to six times more expensive than retaining an existing customer. This paper presents a profit-driven optimization approach to prevent customer churn using a multi-action customer retention action portfolio subject to a budget constraint. The proposed approach integrates the problem of predicting customer churn through analytical models with the issue of selecting specific customer retention actions from a set of defined actions with different costs and effectiveness while enforcing budgetary constraints. The main contribution is developing an optimization framework that matches the customer with the actions, maximizing the expected Customer Lifetime Value retention by applying a given action to a set of customers subject to a budget constraint. This proactive approach is compared with industry customer-action matching heuristics such as sorting by Expected Profit of a Customer, churn ratio, and Customer lifetime Value. Results show that the proposed model significantly outperforms the mentioned heuristics, using a shared budget over a specific campaign budget is preferred, an adequate portfolio of retention actions is crucial for maximizing value, and overestimating a campaign’s effectiveness can reduce the value. The proactive model was tested in a set of 150,000 customers and increased the return on investment of the retention actions by over a 185% compared to the reactive approach of the company.
dc.fechaingreso.objetodigital2024-10-14
dc.format.extentxi, 56 páginas
dc.fuente.origenSRIA
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/88181
dc.information.autorucEscuela de Ingeniería; Mac Cawley Vergara, Alejandro Francisco; 0000-0002-4848-4732; 81775
dc.information.autorucEscuela de Ingeniería; Abraham, Fuentealba; S/I; 204117
dc.language.isoen
dc.nota.accesocontenido completo
dc.rightsacceso abierto
dc.subjectCustomer churn
dc.subjectCLV
dc.subjectOptimization of marketing campaigns
dc.subject.ddc620
dc.subject.deweyIngenieríaes_ES
dc.subject.ods09 Industry, innovation and infrastructure
dc.subject.odspa09 Industria, innovación e infraestructura
dc.titleProfit-driven optimal segment churn prevention actions for a financial institution. A multi-action and shared-segment budget constraint approach
dc.typetesis de maestría
sipa.codpersvinculados81775
sipa.codpersvinculados204117
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