Modeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorViera Barreto, Jessica Noelia
dc.contributor.authorSancho, Gisela
dc.contributor.authorMauricio Bonifacino, Jose
dc.contributor.authorPliscoff, Patricio
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-10T12:37:00Z
dc.date.available2024-01-10T12:37:00Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractMicrogyne trifurcata is a rare native plant species from one of the areas with the highest human impact on the environment in southern South America. Its habitat, mostly grasslands suitable for agriculture, has been increasingly covered by crops since the late 1800s. Microgyne trifurcata provides an excellent case study to understand how different environmental variables have affected the distribution area of a rare species. This study aims to estimate the impact of topoclimatic and land-use changes in the distribution of Microgyne trifurcata throughout the twentieth century. We carried out recent past and present distribution modeling using the Ensembles of Small Models (ESM) methodology. In this spatio-temporal study, we included climatic, topographic, and land-use variables. We classified the occurrences into two periods of the twentieth century. The first dates from 1901 to 1940, and the second, from 1960 to 2000, when the main cropping changes of the area occurred. The projected area between 1960 and 2000 provides for this species new suitable habitats toward the northeast of the area of study. Our results highlight the importance of assessing the combined impacts of climate and land-use changes on species distributions over time. This study shows that the potential area of Microgyne trifurcata decreased and underwent fragmentation throughout the twentieth century when these variables combined are used to model its distribution. Our outcomes prompt future studies on the vulnerability of Microgyne trifurcata to outline conservation strategies.
dc.description.funderAgencia Nacional de Promocion Cientifica y Tecnologica (ANPCyT)
dc.description.funderConsejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnologicas (CONICET)
dc.description.funderFondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnologico (FONDECYT)
dc.description.funderANID PIA/BASAL
dc.description.funderUniversidad Nacional de La Plata (UNLP)
dc.fechaingreso.objetodigital2024-03-13
dc.format.extent17 páginas
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11258-021-01159-9
dc.identifier.eissn1573-5052
dc.identifier.issn1385-0237
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11258-021-01159-9
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/76722
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:000675055200001
dc.information.autorucFacultad de Historia, Geografía y Ciencia Política; Pliscoff Varas, Patricio Andres; S/I; 1435
dc.issue.numero9
dc.language.isoen
dc.nota.accesoContenido parcial
dc.pagina.final1049
dc.pagina.inicio1033
dc.publisherSPRINGER
dc.revistaPLANT ECOLOGY
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectEnsembles of small models
dc.subjectLand-use changes
dc.subjectMicrogyne trifurcata
dc.subjectArgentina
dc.subjectUruguay
dc.subjectGrasslands
dc.subjectCLIMATE-CHANGE
dc.subjectSPECIES DISTRIBUTION
dc.subjectLAND-USE
dc.subjectBUENOS-AIRES
dc.subjectCONSERVATION
dc.subjectARGENTINA
dc.subjectIMPACT
dc.subjectBIODIVERSITY
dc.subjectTHRESHOLDS
dc.subjectSTRATEGIES
dc.subject.ods13 Climate Action
dc.subject.ods15 Life on Land
dc.subject.odspa13 Acción por el clima
dc.subject.odspa15 Vida de ecosistemas terrestres
dc.titleModeling the 20th-century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata, a rare plant of the southern South American grasslands
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen222
sipa.codpersvinculados1435
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadCarga SIPA;09-01-2024
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
2024-03-13. Modeling the 20th century distribution changes of Microgyne trifurcata.pdf
Size:
126.68 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Download
Collections
Artículos de revistas