Complex Theory in Small Systems: An Application to the Bolivian Power System

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dc.contributor.authorWatts Casimis, David
dc.contributor.authorAyala Santander, Marysol
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-18T14:04:46Z
dc.date.available2022-05-18T14:04:46Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.description.abstractThe occurrence of blackouts in recent years and their impact on society call into question the traditional planning and reliability analysis, which focuses on events of significant chances, without explicitly considering the development of catastrophic situations such as blackouts. The complexity theory provides concepts widely applied in other areas, such as economics and science, opening a new field of study in electrical systems. This would provide complementary tools to traditional analysis, helping explaining, quantifying and modeling events with very low probability and high impact for society, such as blackouts and cascading failures. These new concepts are applied to characterize the Bolivian power system, marking the first application to a Latin American system. Results are surprising because of its failure behavior is consistent with a “power law†, suggesting a complex system, characterized by self-organized criticality (SOC) with long-term memory, where small perturbations can propagate out producing blackouts. This suggests that this theory would be appropriate not only to describe giant systems such as those from China and the U.S., but also for smaller systems, such as the Bolivian and other Latin American ones. It was shown that blackouts provide significant risks that would require explicit modeling and risk management.
dc.fuente.origenIEEE
dc.identifier.doi10.1109/TLA.2014.6749531
dc.identifier.eissn1548-0992
dc.identifier.urihttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?arnumber=6749531
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1109/TLA.2014.6749531
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/64095
dc.information.autorucEscuela de ingeniería ; Watts Casimis, David ; S/I ; 93141
dc.information.autorucEscuela de ingeniería ; Ayala Santander, Marysol ; S/I ; 197795
dc.issue.numero2
dc.language.isoen
dc.nota.accesoContenido parcial
dc.pagina.final152
dc.pagina.inicio146
dc.publisherIEEE
dc.revistaIEEE Latin America Transactionses_ES
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectSilicon compounds
dc.subjectPower system reliability
dc.subjectReliability
dc.subjectPower system faults
dc.subjectPower system protection
dc.subjectMedia
dc.titleComplex Theory in Small Systems: An Application to the Bolivian Power Systemes_ES
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen12
sipa.codpersvinculados93141
sipa.codpersvinculados197795
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