Future land use conflicts: Comparing spatial scenarios for urban-regional planning

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dc.contributor.authorHenriquez, Cristian
dc.contributor.authorMorales, Mauricio
dc.contributor.authorQuense, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorHidalgo, Rodrigo
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-10T13:45:23Z
dc.date.available2024-01-10T13:45:23Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractLatin America's intensive urbanization processes are triggering rapid peri-urban transformations and the expansion of cities. These include accelerated metropolization processes, urban sprawl, and the emergence of new conurbations. These changes parallel the expansion of highly profitable agricultural activities and plantations linked to international markets. This paper aims to analyze land use/cover changes between 1990 and 2050 in the Quillota Province, Valparaiso Region, Chile. Specific objectives considered (1) analyzing changes in land use/cover trajectories between 1990 and 2017, (2) simulating changes in land use/cover based on three scenarios of territorial planning to 2050 (trending, ecological planning, and spatial planning), and (3), identifying the areas most likely to be modified by urbanization and agricultural activity as a result of biodiversity loss in the study area. The Dyna-CLUE model implemented was complemented with GIS techniques for the analysis of land use/cover trajectories that allowed classifying and characterizing the most dynamic land uses/cover within the Quillota Province, such as urban land uses. The results of simulations to 2050 show a probable conurbation of medium-sized cities of Quillota-La Cruz-Calera, and future land use conflicts between peri urban-agricultural land use and plantation-natural conservation land use. The results suggest that it is essential to choose scenarios to ensure sustainable land use planning to control urban and peri-urban sprawl and protect areas of high natural value.
dc.fechaingreso.objetodigital2024-05-15
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/23998083221111404
dc.identifier.eissn2399-8091
dc.identifier.issn2399-8083
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1177/23998083221111404
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/79025
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:000821141700001
dc.information.autorucFacultad de Historia, Geografía y Ciencia Política; Henriquez Ruiz, Cristian Gonzalo; S/I; 93676
dc.language.isoen
dc.nota.accesocontenido parcial
dc.publisherSAGE PUBLICATIONS LTD
dc.revistaENVIRONMENT AND PLANNING B-URBAN ANALYTICS AND CITY SCIENCE
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectUrban sprawl
dc.subjectdyna-clue
dc.subjectQuillota Province
dc.subjectland use modeling
dc.subject.ods15 Life on Land
dc.subject.ods11 Sustainable Cities and Communities
dc.subject.odspa15 Vida de ecosistemas terrestres
dc.subject.odspa11 Ciudades y comunidades sostenibles
dc.titleFuture land use conflicts: Comparing spatial scenarios for urban-regional planning
dc.typeartículo
sipa.codpersvinculados93676
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.trazabilidadCarga SIPA;09-01-2024
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