Using the cumulative availability curve to assess the threat of mineral depletion: The case of lithium

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dc.contributor.authorYaksic, Andres
dc.contributor.authorTilton, John E.
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-10T12:10:42Z
dc.date.available2024-01-10T12:10:42Z
dc.date.issued2009
dc.description.abstractThe cumulative availability curve shows the quantities of a mineral commodity that can be recovered under current conditions from existing resources at various prices. The future availability of a mineral commodity depends on the shape of its cumulative availability curve (determined by geologic considerations, such as the nature and incidence of the available mineral deposits), the speed at which society moves up the curve (determined by future demand and the extent to which this demand is satisfied by recycling), and shifts in the curve (determined by cost-reducing technological change and other factors). While the shape of the curve for any given mineral commodity may or may not be known, it is knowable since the geologic processes responsible for the curve's shape took place many years ago. In contrast, the factors governing how fast society moves up the curve and how the curve shifts over time are not only unknown but also unknowable.
dc.description.abstractUsing lithium as an example, this article shows that knowledge about the shape of the cumulative availability curve can by itself provide useful insights for some mineral commodities regarding the potential future threat of shortages due to depletion. Despite the inherent uncertainties surrounding the future growth in lithium demand as well as the uncertainties regarding the future cost-reducing effects of new production technologies, the shape of the lithium cumulative availability curve indicates that depletion is not likely to pose a serious problem over the rest of this century and well beyond. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
dc.fechaingreso.objetodigital09-04-2024
dc.format.extent10 páginas
dc.fuente.origenWOS
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.resourpol.2009.05.002
dc.identifier.eissn1873-7641
dc.identifier.issn0301-4207
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2009.05.002
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.uc.cl/handle/11534/76598
dc.identifier.wosidWOS:000271692800003
dc.information.autorucIngeniería;Tilton JE;S/I;1002636
dc.information.autorucIngeniería;Yaksic A;S/I;125664
dc.issue.numero4
dc.language.isoen
dc.nota.accesoContenido parcial
dc.pagina.final194
dc.pagina.inicio185
dc.publisherELSEVIER SCI LTD
dc.revistaRESOURCES POLICY
dc.rightsacceso restringido
dc.subjectMineral depletion
dc.subjectMineral availability
dc.subjectNonrenewable resources
dc.subjectCumulative availability curve
dc.subjectLithium
dc.subject.ods11 Sustainable Cities and Communities
dc.subject.odspa11 Ciudades y comunidades sostenibles
dc.titleUsing the cumulative availability curve to assess the threat of mineral depletion: The case of lithium
dc.typeartículo
dc.volumen34
sipa.codpersvinculados1002636
sipa.codpersvinculados125664
sipa.indexWOS
sipa.indexScopus
sipa.trazabilidadCarga SIPA;09-01-2024
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