Browsing by Author "Mac Cawley A.F."
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- ItemComparing an expected value with a multistage stochastic optimization approach for the case of wine grape harvesting operations with quality degradation(Blackwell Publishing Ltd, 2021) Avanzini, Elbio Leonel; Mac Cawley A.F.; Vera, Jorge R.; Maturana Valderrama, Sergio© 2021 The Authors. International Transactions in Operational Research © 2021 International Federation of Operational Research SocietiesOperations planning is an important step in any activity as it aligns resources to achieve economic production value. In agriculture operations where uncertainty is present, planners must deal with biological and environmental factors, among others, which add variability and complexity to the production planning process. In this work, we consider operations planning to harvest grapes for wine production where uncertainty in weather conditions will affect the quality of grapes and, consequently, the economic value of the product. In this setting, planners make decisions on labor allocation and harvesting schedules, considering uncertainty of future rain. Weather uncertainty is modeled following a Markov Chain approach, in which rain affects the quality of grapes and labor productivity. We compare an expected value with a multi-stage stochastic optimization approach using standard metrics such as Value of Stochastic Solution and Expected Value of Perfect Information. We analyze the impact of grape quality over time, if they are not harvested on the optimal ripeness day, and also consider differences in ability between workers, which accounts for the impact of rain in their productivity. Results are presented for a small grape harvest instance and we compare the performance of both models under different scenarios of uncertainty, manpower ability, and product qualities. Results indicate that the multi-stage approach produces better results than the expected value approach, especially under high uncertainty and high grape quality scenarios. Worker ability is also a mechanism for dealing with uncertainty, and both models take advantage of this variable.
- ItemDetermining optimal laser-beam cutting equipment investment through a robust optimization modeling approach(Public Library of Science, 2021) Feller J.; Mac Cawley A.F.; Ramos-Grez J.A.; Fé-Perdomo I.L.; Fé-Perdomo I.L.© 2021 Feller et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.The acquisition of Advanced Manufacturing Technologies (AMT), such as high-power fiber or CO2 laser cutting equipment, generally involves high investment levels. Its payback period is usually more extended, and there is a moderate-to-high risk involved in adopting these technologies. In this work, we present a robust model that optimizes equipment investing decisions, considers the process’s technical constraint and finds an optimal production plan based on the available machinery. We propose a linear investment model based on historical demand information and take physical process parameters for a LASER cutting equipment, such as cutting speed and gas consumption. The model is then transformed into a robust optimization model which considers demand uncertainty. Second, we determine the optimal production plan based on the results of the robust optimization model and assuming that demand follows a normal distribution. As a case study, we decided on the investment and productive plan for a company that offers Laser-Beam Cutting (LBC) services. The case study validates the effectiveness of the proposed model and proves the robustness of the solution. For this specific application of the model, results showed that the optimal robust solution could increase the company’s expected profits by 6.4%.