Browsing by Author "Alfaro, Tania"

Now showing 1 - 4 of 4
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    Case-Control Study of Risk Factors for Meningococcal Disease in Chile
    (2017) Olea, Andrea; Matute, Isabel; González, Claudia; Delgado, Iris; Poffald, Lucy; Pedroni, Elena; Alfaro, Tania; Hirmas, Macarena; Nájera, Manuel; Ferreccio Readi, Catterina; Gormaz, Ana; López, Darío; Loayza, Sergio; Gallegos, Doris; Fuentes, Rodrigo; Vial, Pablo; Aguilera, Ximena
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    COVID-19 and the worsening of health inequities in Santiago, Chile
    (OXFORD UNIV PRESS, 2021) Bilal, Usama; Alfaro, Tania; Vives, Alejandra; CEDEUS (Chile)
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    Excess Mortality during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Cities of Chile: Magnitude, Inequalities, and Urban Determinants
    (SPRINGER, 2022) Alfaro, Tania; Martinez-Folgar, Kevin; Vives, Alejandra; Bilal, Usama; CEDEUS (Chile)
    We estimated excess mortality in Chilean cities during the COVID-19 pandemic and its association with city-level factors. We used mortality, and social and built environment data from the SALURBAL study for 21 Chilean cities, composed of 81 municipalities or "comunas", grouped in 4 macroregions. We estimated excess mortality by comparing deaths from January 2020 up to June 2021 vs 2016-2019, using a generalized additive model. We estimated a total of 21,699 (95%CI 21,693 to 21,704) excess deaths across the 21 cities. Overall relative excess mortality was highest in the Metropolitan (Santiago) and the North regions (28.9% and 22.2%, respectively), followed by the South and Center regions (17.6% and 14.1%). At the city-level, the highest relative excess mortality was found in the Northern cities of Calama and Iquique (around 40%). Cities with higher residential overcrowding had higher excess mortality. In Santiago, capital of Chile, municipalities with higher educational attainment had lower relative excess mortality. These results provide insight into the heterogeneous impact of COVID-19 in Chile, which has served as a magnifier of preexisting urban health inequalities, exhibiting different impacts between and within cities. Delving into these findings could help prioritize strategies addressed to prevent deaths in more vulnerable communities.
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    Using community-based system dynamics modeling to understand the complex systems that influence health in cities: The SALURBAL study
    (ELSEVIER SCI LTD, 2019) Langellier, Brent A.; Kuhlberg, Jill A.; Ballard, Ellis A.; Slesinski, S. Claire; Stankov, Ivana; Gouveia, Nelson; Meisel, Jose D.; Kroker Lobos, Maria F.; Sarmiento, Olga L.; Caiaffa, Waleska Teixeira; Roux, Ana V. Diez; Alazraqui, Marcio; Spinelli, Hugo; Guevel, Carlos; Di Cecco, Vanessa; Tisnes, Adela; Leveau, Carlos; Santoro, Adrian; Herkovits, Damian; Gouveia, Nelson; Barreto, Mauricio; Santos, Gervasio; Cardoso, Leticia; de Menezes, Mariana Carvalho; de Pina, Maria de Fatima; Caiaffa, Waleska Teixeira; de Lima Friche, Amelia Augusta; de Souza Andrade, Amanda Cristina; Frenz, Patricia; Alfaro, Tania; Cordova, Cynthia; Ruiz, Pablo; Fuentes, Mauricio; Vives Vergara, Alejandra; Salazar, Alejandro; Cortinez O'Ryan, Andrea; Schmitt, Cristian; Gonzalez, Francisca; Baeza, Fernando; Angelini, Flavia; Sarmiento Duenas, Olga Lucia; Higuera, Diana; Gonzalez, Catalina; Montes, Felipe; Useche, Andres F.; Guaje, Oscar; Maria Jaramillo, Ana; Angel Guzman, Luis; Hessel, Philipp; Lucumi, Diego; David Meisel, Jose; Martinez, Eliana; Kroker Lobos, Maria F.; Ramirez Zea, Manuel; Martinez Folgar, Kevin; Barrientos Gutierrez, Tonatiuh; Perez Ferrer, Carolina; Prado Galbarro, Javier; de Castro, Filipa; Rojas Martinez, Rosalba; Jaime Miranda, J.; Hernandez Vasquez, Akram; Diez Canseco, Francisco; Hammond, Ross; Rodriguez, Daniel; Dronova, Iryna; Wang, Xize; Moran, Mika; Hovmand, Peter; Fuchs, Ricardo Jordan; Braslow, Juliet; Siri, Jose; Roux, Ana Diez; Auchincloss, Amy; Bilal, Usama; Garcia Espana, Felipe; Langellier, Brent; Lovasi, Gina; McClure, Leslie; Michael, Yvonne; Moore, Kari; Quick, Harrison; Quistberg, D. Alex; Sanchez, Brisa N.; Stankov, Ivana; Granados, Jose Tapia; SALURBAL Grp
    We discuss the design, implementation, and results of a collaborative process designed to elucidate the complex systems that drive food behaviors, transport, and health in Latin American cities and to build capacity for systems thinking and community-based system dynamics (CBSD) methods among diverse research team members and stakeholders. During three CB SD workshops, 62 stakeholders from 10 Latin American countries identified 98 variables and a series of feedback loops that shape food behaviors, transportation and health, along with 52 policy levers. Our findings suggest that CBSD can engage local stakeholders, help them view problems through the lens of complex systems and use their insights to prioritize research efforts and identify novel solutions that consider mechanisms of complexity.